高齢化の国際的進展による経済・金融上の影響<br>The Economic and Financial Market Consequences of Global Ageing (European and Transatlantic Studies) （2004. XIV, 345 p. w. 91 figs.）

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高齢化の国際的進展による経済・金融上の影響
The Economic and Financial Market Consequences of Global Ageing (European and Transatlantic Studies) （2004. XIV, 345 p. w. 91 figs.）

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  • 製本 Hardcover:ハードカバー版／ページ数 345 p.
  • 商品コード 9783540405412

基本説明

Contents includes Global Capital Market Developments, EU Pension Reform, etc.

Full Description

 Many countries will be confronted with ageing populations in the coming decades. This will crucially affect the economic outlook for the economy. Population changes directly affect the size of the labour force and consequently potential employment and output growth. In addition, changes in demographic trends strongly influence savings and investment behaviour, the outlook for the public finances, a range of financial market variables and, more controversially, may impact on the pace of productivity growth in an economy. Because the timing and magnitude of demographic changes varies significantly across regions, international capital flows will play an important role for the allocation of investment. This book offers a comprehensive treatment of ageing related issues based on a five region overlapping generations model and provides a quantitative assessment until 2050.

Contents

One: Economic and Financial Market Consequences of Global Ageing.- Executive Overview.- Section 1: Global Demographic Trends and Forecasts 1950-2050.- Section 2: How is Ageing Likely to Impact Economically over the Next 50 Years: What are the Main Transmission Mechanisms?.- Section 3: Global Capital Market Developments, Current Account Imbalances and the Evidence for Agerelated International Capital Flows.- Section 4: Global Ageing Scenario 2000-2050.- Section 5: Policy Response: How Can the EU and the World as a Whole Effectively Deal with the Challenges of Ageing?.- Detailed Summary of Main Points from Part 1.- Two: EU Pension Reform — an Overview of the Debate and an Empirical Assessment of the Main Policy Reform Options.- Executive Overview of Key Policy Conclusions.- Introductory Remarks.- Section 1: Overview of the Pension Reform Debate.- Section 2: Description of Model Used to Assess the Pension Reform Options.- Section 3: PAYG System: Economic Assessment of the Main Parametric / Labour Market Reform Options: What is needed to Bring the System Back into Equilibrium?.- Section 4: Systemic Reform: 2 Key Factors to be Considered: Internal Rates of Return + Transition Burden.- Section 5: Economic Assessment of a Full / Partial Shift to Funding.- Section 6: An "Optimal" EU Pension Reform Strategy.- Detailed Summary of Main Points from Part 2.- Three: Annexes.- Annex 1: Member States Analysis.- Annex 2: Detailed Description of Ageing Model.- Annex 3: Basic Data on Savings, Wealth Holdings and Retirement Income Financing.- Annex 4: Results of Comparable Ageing Studies.- Annex 5: Prefunding within the PAYG System: Intergenerational Equity Objective.- List of Graphs.- List of Tables.- References.