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基本説明
New in paperback. Hardcover was published in 1990. Emphasizes concrete applicatons of decision research (from personal decision about medical treatment to Truman's decision to use the atomic bomb).
Full Description
This text, written by a philosopher and a social psychologist, emphasizes concrete applications of decision research to problems of everyday living, as well as to business, social, and political issues. The text contains scores of interesting examples and problems for analysis, ranging from personal decisions about medical treatment to Truman's decision to use the atomic bomb. There is no other text with such a wide-ranging coverage, with so practical an orientation, with such clear descriptions of the steps to effective decision making, and with so many end-of-chapter problems for analysis and practice.
Contents
Chapter 1 Introduction Chapter 2 Psychological Hinderances to Effective Decision Making Chapter 3 Evaluating Complex Outcomes Chapter 4 Reasoning About Causes Chapter 5 How to Think About Risk Chapter 6 Risky Decisions With Complex Outcomes Chapter 7 Decision Making Among Rational Competitors Chapter 8 Bargaining and Negotiations Chapter 9 Appendices: Measurement and Utility Chapter 10 Alternative Decision Rules Chapter 11 Mixed Strategies in 2 X 2 Games Chapter 12 Bargaining in Three Person Games